By Jacob Ogles
January 18, 2022
General Counsel Ryan Newman submitted a map on Sunday.
Gov. Ron DeSantis just joined Florida’s redistricting fray.
Ryan Newman, the Governor’s General Counsel, submitted his own proposal for a congressional map in Florida Sunday night. The draft (P 0079) was submitted days after the Florida Senate Reapportionment Committee advanced to the floor its own plan (S 8040) for how to divide Florida into 28 congressional districts.
While legislative maps for the House and Senate will be approved without the Governor’s involvement, DeSantis will have the opportunity to sign or veto a congressional map. Of note, DeSantis also served in the U.S. House before his election as Governor.
An analysis by Dave’s Redistricting shows the map produces 18 districts with a Republican lean and 10 with a Democratic one. By contrast, the Senate map has 16 districts where Republican Donald Trump won the most votes for President in 2020, and 12 where Democrat Joe Biden won.
The plan from Newman differs in other significant ways from the Senate plan, or either of two plans published thus far by the House Redistricting Committee (H 8001, H 8003).
Most noticeably, there seems to be no district analogous to Florida’s 5th Congressional District. That is the region represented by Rep. Al Lawson, a Tallahassee Democrat. Under its current configuration, the district spans much of the state’s northern border from Tallahassee to the Jacksonville area.
The current plan was implemented by the Florida Supreme Court in a 2015 decision. While population differences since the decision mean any new map will likely differ substantially, a district similar to Lawson’s appears on every draft congressional map produced thus far by House or Senate staff. That’s not a huge surprise, as the district is considered to be a Tier 1-protected minority access district, and the Voting Rights Act forbids any diminishment of minority voters’ ability to elect a candidate of their choosing.
In addition to effectively eliminating Lawson’s district, the Governor’s Office map has no district in north Florida where Black residents make up more than 40% of the voting age population. The closest is the proposed Florida’s 3rd Congressional District in the Jacksonville area where Blacks make up 30.75% of the electorate. That’s compared to 45.24% in the existing CD 5 and 42.8% in the Senate proposal.
The map also effectively erases a district represented by Rep. Stephanie Murphy, a Winter Park Democrat. That move is similar to one of the House proposals. Murphy recently announced she would not seek re-election.
Republican Anthony Sabatini, who had filed to run against Murphy, seemed to greet this map with some enthusiasm. “A NEW Congressional map just released tonight from Governor DeSantis’ Office. District numbers all change under this proposal — I would be running in ‘District 6’ (which is ‘District 7’ with a new #),” he tweeted shortly after the maps were published.
Some GOP leaders cheered DeSantis jumping into the process. Many national Republicans hoped the Legislature would produce a more aggressive map improving Republican numbers regardless of the Fair Districts provisions in the state Constitution.
“Gov. Ron DeSantis off the bench and into the game to make it interesting,” said Christian Ziegler, vice chair of the Republican Party of Florida. “FACT >> I had a ton of people come up to me at the Trump Rally in Arizona asking about Florida’s congressional maps and if DeSantis was going to get involved. 24 hours later, looks like we have an answer.“
But the dramatically different approach with minority districts left some critics questioning if the map should even be taken seriously.
“DeSantis wants to appear he’s still the MAGA boy, so he’s proposed a map that is purposely ridiculous — namely destroying minority seats,” tweeted Matt Isbell, a Democratic consultant who has closely followed the redistricting process. “So this is just a stunt. Feel free to obsess over it. But I recommend ignoring.”
In another controversial move, the Newman map dramatically reshapes Tampa Bay’s political make-up.
Right now, Florida’s 13th Congressional District — represented by U.S. Rep. Charlie Crist, a St. Petersburg Democrat — is contained entirely within Pinellas County. But the proposal from the Governor’s Office turns the district into one that spans Tampa Bay. Crist also is not seeking re-election, and instead is challenging DeSantis for Governor.
The Senate draft map, which for the most part has drawn praise from third-party watchdogs like the Princeton Gerrymandering Project, has garnered complaints about the same region. Critics have bemoaned that Florida’s 14th Congressional District — represented now by Rep. Kathy Castor, a Tampa Democrat — shifts to the west under that plan and covers parts of Hillsborough and Pinellas County. The Newman map, though, shifts the other way, with a north and south Pinellas district reaching across the county line and taking on Hillsborough turf.
Florida is being awarded a 28th congressional district, as the result of its population growth. While the Senate map clearly places that new district in Central Florida, the Governor’s map places it in Republican-rich Southwest Florida. It does this by remaking Florida’s 19th Congressional District, which now hugs the coast and spans parts of Lee and Collier counties, and instead puts all of Lee County into a single district and includes just a portion of Collier to fill out the population.
Meanwhile, the draft map makes Florida’s 26th Congressional District one that includes the Collier population centers around Naples and Marco Island, and then spans far east to sweep up parts of Broward and Miami-Dade County, reaching as far southeast as Hialeah.
This notably puts Reps. Byron Donalds, a Naples Republican, and Mario-Diaz-Balart, a Hialeah Republican, in the same district.
There is no requirement for members of Congress to live in the districts they represent.
The proposal out of DeSantis’ office significantly reshapes the district formerly represented by the late Rep. Alcee Hastings. Hastings’ successor, Democrat Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, just won a Special Election and is awaiting its certification to take office.
But unlike Lawson’s district, the Newman map has significant Black representation in the proposed Florida’s 23rd Congressional District. Black residents make up 42.01% of the voting age population there. By comparison, the analogous proposed Florida’s 20th Congressional District on the Senate committee-advanced map has 48.54% of its adult population listed as Black.