2013 Fernandina Beach City Election: A fluke or a trend?

FOpinions_051312Submitted by Suanne Z. Thamm

Reporter – News Analyst

City residents, other commissioners and city staff now prepare to welcome Johnny Miller as the newest commissioner on December 17, 2013.  While many in our community rejoice over his election, others scratch their heads and wonder how a relative newcomer to the political scene managed to win the runoff with 61.51% of the vote versus 38.59% for Andy
Curtin, a man who has served on city committees for many years and who is in regular attendance at Fernandina Beach City Commission meetings and workshops.  Miller, who appears to be a progressive-moderate on the political scale, defeated Curtin, an outspoken fiscal conservative, who is a close adviser to Mayor Sarah Pelican and who has been active with the local Tea Party.  How did this happen?  Was it simply a matter of one candidate winning or does it portend even more changes for the 2014 elections?

The election numbers themselves contained both good news and bad news.  The good news is that despite the fact that runoff elections usually have much lower turnouts than the general election, this time 20% of the 9004 registered city voters participated.  By no means is this to suggest that a 20% voter turnout should be viewed as positive for the city’s rate of civic involvement.  The number of registered voters increased by 69 between the general and the runoff, and runoff participation increased by 87 voters.  Participation increased in two precincts (102 and 201), while it dropped by 20 in Precinct 101.

General Election

Runoff Election

Total registered voters

8,935

9,004

Absentee/mail ballots cast

557

619

Precinct 101 votes cast

261

241

Precinct 102 votes cast

995

1,046

Precinct 201 votes cast

426

487

Total votes cast

1,682 (18.82%)

1,773 (19.69%)

By precinct, the changes in voting patterns and results are also interesting.  With both Bert Austin and Lynn Williams eliminated in the general election, their supporters seemed to be more attracted to Miller than Curtin.  Both candidates saw their precinct vote counts rise in the runoff election, but Miller’s numbers grew more dramatically than Curtin’s.

Precinct 101

Elm Street Rec Center

Precinct 102

Atlantic Rec Center

Precinct 201

First Baptist Church

General Runoff General Runoff General Runoff
Registered Voters

1,785

1,781

4,771

4,836

2,379

2,387

Votes cast

261

241

995

1,046

426

487

Andy Curtin

57

77

309

401

159

204

Johnny Miller

92

162

363

645

124

283

Bert Austin

29

81

36

Lynn Williams

79

224

102

The sitting city commissioners—Sarah Pelican, Charlie Corbett, Pat Gass and Ed Boner—came into office on a tide of voter dissatisfaction with city government and its strategic direction.  During their election campaigns these individuals targeted voters unhappy with the city manager and the commission-adopted strategic plan called Forward Fernandina, or F2.  Incumbent commissioners who supported the plan and the city manager were ousted as the new commissioners promised to bring greater fiscal accountability and more transparency to city government.  However, once the city manger was replaced and the uncommitted money borrowed to finance capital projects under the F2 plan was returned to the borrower, the new commission presented no alternative plan to revitalize the Centre Street corridor and riverfront or pay for the ongoing costs of maintaining the city’s beaches and public spaces.  Instead, the majority of the commission has relied upon a strategy that includes cutting staffing levels, which aggravates those already concerned about slow services, and raising ad valorem taxes, which aggravates those who thought the new commissioners would lower taxes.Print

With an opportunity to elect a new commissioner, voters were faced with a dilemma:  elect Curtin, an involved citizen who was closely allied to sitting commissioners, or elect Miller, a political novice.  If the voters were largely happy with the actions of the current commission, Curtin was the obvious choice.  If not, they appeared open to an unknown who did not appear to be singing from the same hymnal.

Two specific issues also loomed large in the minds of voters:  city support for local non-profit social service organizations and the future of the Fernandina Beach branch of the Nassau County Library System.

Fernandina Beach is a community of involved volunteers.  While they may tune out local politics, they tend to care passionately about helping make life better for the elderly, children, the sick and disadvantaged.  During the FY2014 budget discussions, there was much talk about getting the city out of the business of making small financial grants to these organizations.  Even though the city manager in following past practice had budgeted $30,000 for this purpose, some commissioners argued passionately against the practice, making what some considered to be rude or hard-hearted comments in the process.  In response to questions posed by the Fernandina Observer during the campaign, Curtin supported fiscally conservative actions of the commission.  Coupled with his close support of Corbett, Gass and Pelican, voters had to question whether non-profits would suffer more with Curtin’s voice added.

The library issue was a bit more nuanced.  In campaign statements both Curtin and Miller expressed support for renovating and expanding the existing city building that houses the county library branch.  But during the campaign an email written in January surfaced in which Curtin forcefully opposed this action.  The email was widely circulated and undoubtedly influenced some votes among library supporters, since the final approval for the project seemed to be getting down to the wire at the same time as a new commissioner was being elected.  Fears were expressed that the county-city-Friends of the Library deal could come undone if the new commission included a strong majority opposed to the library plan and agreements.

There are societal changes that also impacted this election.  Print newspaper advertising did not appear to play much of a role, nor did house-to-house campaigning.  Instead the Internet and social media seemed to be the best vehicle for candidates to get out their messages and alert people to campaign events.  The only public event that allowed the voters to compare and contrast candidates side-by-side on the issues was the Fernandina Observer’s candidates forum held on October 22.  This event was recorded and rebroadcast on the city’s cable channel and was also available on the city’s website.  The Fernandina Observer also published statements from the candidates and their answers to questions over the course of the campaign.  These were available via the website and Facebook.   Candidates met in small groups in neighborhoods and at businesses to communicate their message and respond to questions and rumors.  Signs did not seem to make much difference, except to those who looked to catch their opponent on some legal point involving sign wording.

While the total number of registered Republican voters in the county dwarfs voters with other affiliations, that is not the case in the city.  In looking at the breakdown of voters by party affiliation, the number of registered Republicans who voted was almost equaled by the combined number of registered Democrats and independents.  Many among these latter voters expressed unhappiness over what appeared to be an attempt by county Republicans to influence a city, non-partisan election.  When a Nassau County Republican Executive Committee contribution showed up in Curtin’s financial report, that reinforced fears that county politicians were inappropriately involved in city elections.

In city elections historically, incumbent commissioners refrained from outwardly supporting commission candidates on the grounds that they would be required to work with whomever the voters elected.  This time there was little question that incumbent commissioners Corbett, Gass and Pelican were supporting Curtin.  Boner was the only returning incumbent to stay above the fray.  Contributions from commissioners and/or members of their families and friends were listed on Curtin’s official financial statement.  While these contributors may have reasoned that by publicly voicing their support for Curtin they were helping voters know that he had their support, they may have inadvertently cost him votes.

Another example of the hubris of some of the incumbent commissioners is the question over whether the commission will vote to ratify the general election straw poll vote for mayor in which voters chose commissioner Ed Boner (54%) over incumbent mayor-commissioner Sarah Pelican (46%).  Corbett at a recent City Commission meeting stressed to a citizen that the straw poll is only advisory and that nothing in city law or charter demands that the commissioners follow the results.  A search of recent election results reveals that commissioners have always accepted the will of the people in appointing the new mayor.  Another tradition that was followed until last year was naming the second-highest vote poller in the straw poll to the position of vice mayor.  The current commission ignored that tradition by bypassing then-mayor Arlene Filkoff, who had finished second to Pelican and electing Charlie Corbett, who had not even been in the race, as vice mayor.  In response to a Fernandina Observer question about whether they would abide by the straw poll result, Miller said he would while Curtin talked around the issue.

The Fernandina Beach City Commission will conduct its reorganization meeting at 5:00 p.m. on December 17.  Johnny Miller will be sworn in as City Commissioner.  The other major action to be taken at the meeting is the election of a mayor and vice- mayor for the 2014 term.  Miller’s ability to be effective, knowing that three of the four sitting commissioners supported his opponent, will be tested.  The commissioners will also need to be mindful that the electorate spoke with respect to their choice for mayor.  Failure to respect the voters’ choice may have grave consequences for any incumbent commissioner seeking reelection.

The voters next November will be asked to decide once more whether they like the tone, philosophy and direction embraced by the incumbent commissioners.  Only then will we be able to determine if the Curtin-Miller election was only about the candidates or whether the voters want the city to move in a more positive direction.

Suanne ThammEditor’s Note: Suanne Z. Thamm is a native of Chautauqua County, NY, who moved to Fernandina Beach from Alexandria,VA, in 1994. As a long time city resident and city watcher, she provides interesting insight into the many issues that impact our city. We are grateful for Suanne’s many contributions to the Fernandina Observer.

 

December 16, 2013 8:00 a.m.

6 Comments
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Dan Ward
Dan Ward (@guest_16296)
10 years ago

I absolutely love your paper. The articles are spot on and very articulate. I lived in large city most of my life and the news reported here is simply a smaller version of high quality journalism. If only the News Leader would follow in your steps. Thank you so much for your leadership, clear and concise commication of what needs to be said. You cut to the chase. Love it! I have been one of high percentage of I uninvolved citizens you write ago. I would like to be involved with helping to support our great community to the next level. I am unaware of events and meetings that have impact (verses bureaucratic ones, taking no action and wasting time). As we role into the new year, could you share with your followers an article that informs us about public meetings that we could add value. Many of us are still fairly new to the island and yet there is a wealth of talented retired people with past careers that can provide expertise. Dan Ward

Genece Minshew
Genece Minshew (@guest_16297)
10 years ago

Great commentary and asks the questions that many if us are also asking. It will be interesting to see what happens over the coming months.

John Hales
John Hales (@guest_16298)
10 years ago

Mow!

mike spino
mike spino (@guest_16299)
10 years ago

This is a very thoughtful and incisive analysis. I might add that generally speaking voters are always looking for the middle ground in American politics. For example, no one predicted that a Black Democrat could be elected Mayor in Jacksonville. But when the Teavangelical Mike Hogan beat two moderate Republicans in the primary it opened the door for Alvin Brown. To voters, Brown was the moderate choice. Similarly in the 2012 US Senate races voters turned toward moderate Dems rather than radical GOP candidates. This preference for the middle ground is proven again in this city commission election. Curtin represents the tea party to voters. Johnny represents the middle ground where most voters live. There’s a message here for anyone who cares about local government.

Ben Martin
Ben Martin(@ben-martin)
10 years ago

Mr. Curtin may be a fine individual, but I could not find much about him on the internet. What I like about Mr. Miller is that he has “The Raw Milk Revolution” listed as a favorite book on his Facebook page. This would indicate that Mr. Miller is tuned into what “Corporatism” is all about.

Raw Milk is a traditional foodstuff that is widely available in Europe, etc. Raw Milk contains beneficial enzymes that aid with digestion. Pasteurized milk lacks those enzymes. Big Diary in America likes pasteurization, because if you are going to ship a product hundreds of miles and mass market it you need a long shelf life. What Big Diary does not like is competition from small local producers with a superior product. Big Dairy uses their influence in government to regulate Raw Milk out of existence, and they use mass media to brain wash the public and create fear about the “dangers” of Raw Milk.

Corporatism is everywhere. Pharmaceutical companies, banks, investment firms, defense contractors, private prison corporations, Big-Ag, etc. – all lobby the government at the Federal Level.

I have hope that Mr. Miller is a guy who will see things for what they are, and progress in his political career.

The Gutenberg Printing Press helped to make the world a better place. On line local news websites such as the Fernandina Observer have the potential to do the same thing.

Dave Lott
Dave Lott(@dave-l)
10 years ago

As always Suanne a great perspective with a number of interesting questions posed. I guess time will tell how this all plays out. Pendulum does appear to be swinging back as people realize that investment in the City is required even for improvements other than their pet projects.